cliff wrote:
Hey Roland,
Debt rating agencies are, in my eyes, the ones with potentially more than ethical shortcomings to deal with. It is from them that I suspect the originators packaging mortgages into marketable securities ‘bought’ ratings that were provided at best, without adequate due diligence, and at worst, in possible collusion, in exchange for their fees.
The world has never been any different. Economic cycles may each have different drivers, but they all begin out of ruins, gather steam, bubble frenetically, and burst. When we look back on them, they are dry history; the one we live through is the ‘end of the world’.
Cliff,
I never even considered the role of debt rating agencies in this fiasco and I think your observations are spot on. I imagine these debt raters in the role of "the Fates" from Greek mythology. Who lives? Who dies? Who gets a loan or not? How can we determine the fate of the foolish mortals?
I don't think that all the protesters were against the bail outs as much as they are impatient for positive consequences as a result of the bail-outs. If their is a major flaw in Capitalism, you identified it's underpinnings:
cliff wrote:
The real ongoing impact to the economy is well illustrated by a Homer Simpson characterization of his second mortgage situation, in which he was living well beyond his means, and aptly pointed out that he was able to, ‘spend all he wanted, and his house got the bill’. It is the collapse of excess consumer spending made possible by home equity lending, made possible by excessive home prices and equity levels, created by excessive home demand, funded by debt taken on by people that had no hope of meeting their obligations in the first place, that has put people out of work whom would otherwise have been out of work ten years ago…
I am just as guilty as any other American for allowing myself to be conditioned by a consumer driven culture that has me obsessed with buying stuff I don't need and that I really don't want once the infomercial has faded from memory. The real solution, the tightfisted frugality of our Depression Era parents seems the only fix in the micro and will bring complete collapse in the macro.
Roland